Choose a real, manageable decision. Complete the fields, test options across the scenarios, and finish with an action and review trigger. Scenarios describe possibilities; do not assign probabilities without evidence.
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Yenra · October 17, 2026 · https://yenra.com/future/scenario-planning.html
Decision, desired outcome and time horizon:
Resources available and requirements that must hold:
Two outside uncertainties that could change the answer:
Combine different outcomes of the two uncertainties. Give each situation a short name and explain what you would observe.
List two or three options. Use the same criteria in every scenario. Note strengths, weaknesses and any failure to meet a mandatory requirement.
Performance across scenarios 1–4 and reasons:
Performance across scenarios 1–4 and reasons:
Performance across scenarios 1–4 and reasons:
Action useful across several scenarios:
Small experiment, evidence to collect and person responsible:
Observable trigger to expand, pause or change course:
Exit path, review date and source to check:
Keep the original assumptions. At review, record what changed and why. Use qualified advice for decisions that require professional expertise.